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Activity title

Understanding the cost related implications of autonomy- a system of systems perspective

Activity Reference

SAS-146

Panel

System Analysis and Studies

Security Classification

PUBLIC RELEASE

Status

Active

Activity type

ST

Start date

2018

End date

2019

Keywords

Autonomy, Unmanned Autonomous Systems

Background

The potential for autonomy (i.e. autonomous systems) is starting to become clear in the military context. However, most of the focus and research has been oriented towards the exploration of the technical aspects of autonomy and less on the cost related implications of autonomy for current and future military operations (e.g. SAS-097 Robotics Underpinning Future NATO Operations, SCI-296 Autonomy from a Systems Perspective, SCI-ET-012 Affordable Robotics for Military Operations). Moreover, in terms of costs, there is a general belief that autonomy will reduce costs1. Therefore, it is important to develop a better understanding of the cost related implications of the introduction and use of autonomy in the military environment.

Objectives

Develop an analysis approach to: - Facilitate awareness of the potential cost effects of the introduction of autonomy in military operations - Explore relationship between costs and autonomy, to include aspect of cost-effectiveness - Identify the second and third order costs that will result from the introduction of autonomy

Topics

• System of systems modelling • Group model building • Judgement-Based Operational Analysis • Cost and Effectiveness Analysis

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