STONewsArchive: Futures Assessed alongside socio-Technical Evolutions (FATE)
Title:
Futures Assessed alongside socio-Technical Evolutions (FATE)
Start_Publishing:
06/05/2021
Panel_Page:
SAS
Page_ID:
3813
Main_Body_Multi:
Schematic view of the Futures Assessed alongside socio-Technical Evolutions (FATE) Method
NATO STO Research Task Group SAS-123 recently published its Technical Report titled “Futures Assessed alongside socio-Technical Evolutions (FATE)”. During its three-year mandate (subsequently extended by one year as a result of Covid-19 restrictions), the team, led by Dr. Gitanjali Adlakha-Hutcheon of Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC), attracted participation by multidisciplinary experts from Denmark, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Romania, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States, HQ Supreme Allied Command Transformation and, in a first for the STO, Singapore.
The team created the FATE method which enables monitoring of emerging technologies and identification of socio-technical disruptions. Futures work tends to be rather linear, deterministic and techno centric. However, the interaction of technologies with humans and social factors is complex, and more important than it is often given credit. It is with the intent to address such gaps that the FATE method was created. Examples such as mass proliferation and adoption of social media, in combination with use of unmanned aircraft, demonstrate that it is going to be harder to deliver security than to conduct traditional territorial defence.
It also highlights the need for NATO to systematically monitor emerging technologies in a systematic manner as holistic socio-technical systems, thereby enhancing not only its awareness of socio-technical disruptions but also its being ability to plan ahead. FATE does just this. Through FATE technologies and/or socio-economic issues are examined as part of a Socio-Technical System in terms of both what is known today and as an extrapolation into the future. How a Baseline Socio-Technical System (scenario agnostic) interacts with a future scenario provides an understanding of how the technology, and the system within which it resides, will evolve relative to the present.
FATE provides anticipatory answers by examining the Socio-Technical Systems, implications of the convergence of Socio-Technical System and scenarios and how this subsequently impacts on Defence and Security.
In recognition of the outstanding work performed by the team that will assist decision makers in NATO, NATO Nations and Partner Nations as they develop long-term plans and strategies, STO’s System Analysis and Studies (SAS) Panel awarded the SAS-123 team with the 2021 SAS Panel Excellence Award.
The full report is available on the
STO Website
. Please
contact the SAS Panel Office
if you like to get more information.
Page_Intro:
In recognition of the outstanding work performed by the team that will assist decision makers in NATO, NATO Nations and Partner Nations as they develop long-term plans and strategies, STO’s System Analysis and Studies (SAS) Panel awarded the SAS-123 team with the 2021 SAS Panel Excellence Award. The full report is available on the
STO Website
. Please
contact the SAS Panel Office
if you like to get more information.
HomePageImage:
2021-SAS-FATE.png
HomePageBodyText:
A method to systematically monitor emerging technologies and identify socio-technical disruptions.
Schematic view of the Futures Assessed alongside socio-Technical Evolutions (FATE) Method
NATO STO Research Task Group SAS-123 recently published its Technical Report titled “Futures Assessed alongside socio-Technical Evolutions (FATE)”. During its three-year mandate (subsequently extended by one year as a result of Covid-19 restrictions), the team, led by Dr. Gitanjali Adlakha-Hutcheon of Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC), attracted participation by multidisciplinary experts from Denmark, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Romania, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States, HQ Supreme Allied Command Transformation and, in a first for the STO, Singapore.
The team created the FATE method which enables monitoring of emerging technologies and identification of socio-technical disruptions. Futures work tends to be rather linear, deterministic and techno centric. However, the interaction of technologies with humans and social factors is complex, and more important than it is often given credit. It is with the intent to address such gaps that the FATE method was created. Examples such as mass proliferation and adoption of social media, in combination with use of unmanned aircraft, demonstrate that it is going to be harder to deliver security than to conduct traditional territorial defence.
It also highlights the need for NATO to systematically monitor emerging technologies in a systematic manner as holistic socio-technical systems, thereby enhancing not only its awareness of socio-technical disruptions but also its being ability to plan ahead. FATE does just this. Through FATE technologies and/or socio-economic issues are examined as part of a Socio-Technical System in terms of both what is known today and as an extrapolation into the future. How a Baseline Socio-Technical System (scenario agnostic) interacts with a future scenario provides an understanding of how the technology, and the system within which it resides, will evolve relative to the present.
FATE provides anticipatory answers by examining the Socio-Technical Systems, implications of the convergence of Socio-Technical System and scenarios and how this subsequently impacts on Defence and Security.
In recognition of the outstanding work performed by the team that will assist decision makers in NATO, NATO Nations and Partner Nations as they develop long-term plans and strategies, STO’s System Analysis and Studies (SAS) Panel awarded the SAS-123 team with the 2021 SAS Panel Excellence Award.
The full report is available on the
STO Website
. Please
contact the SAS Panel Office
if you like to get more information.
Created at 06/05/2021 16:13 by ad.rodes
Last modified at 06/05/2021 16:13 by ad.rodes
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