Publications

This document summarizes the presentations that were delivered during the SAS-114 Workshop on Communicating Uncertainty, Assessing Information Quality and Risk, and Using Structured Techniques in Intelligence Analysis. The Workshop, which was hosted by the Danish Defence Intelligence Agency, took place from December 5-7, 2016 at Kastellet in Copenhagen, Denmark. The Workshop brought together a unique mix of scientists, other scholars, and defence intelligence practitioners. As the Workshop’s title indicates, the meeting was oriented around three inter-related themes: the communication of uncertainty, as well as source reliability and information credibility; the use of structured analytic techniques to support intelligence analysis; and the assessment of information quality and risk. The meeting was both stimulating and productive. Perusing the summaries will reveal just how diverse the subject matter was. Yet, the Workshop was characterized by lively discussion, including multiple discussions of how participants could work together in the future to address particular evidence-based challenges. It is anticipated that such plans will continue to fuel SAS-114’s research activities.